Belgium crisis: alea iacta est

Yesterday, the crisis in Belgium reached a new high. The old recipe: "the Belgian compromise", (something I was a big fan of in the past) does not seem to work anymore in the 21st century and the Flemish have for the first time in history used their numeric majority to vote against the French speaking parties (cfr. here).

Alea iacta est, the Rubicon has been crossed. From here on, we can only watch as events unfold and we'll see what the future brings, though it will likely be different from the past.

Making predictions from here on is next to impossible as there are many parties involved that will change their attitude from now on. It's even impossible to define the winning side of yesterday's action. The side of the losers is clearer though: look for them on the MR side (Walloon right wing). Reynders had a unique opportunity to gain real power and ditch the socialists on the Walloon side of the country (a state reform in trade of Reynders being Prime Minister would have been a great Belgian Compromise), but this dream is lost because of Maingain's inability to agree. If Reynders is able to silence Maingain (in which case Maingain will be the loser), there is still hope for him. If he's not able to do this, Reynders will soon lose his number 1 spot in Wallonia to Di Rupo and the socialists.